Citizens Business Conditions Index™ Shows Resilience in 2Q
Business sentiment remains sanguine despite uncertainty
Despite the challenges of trade and geopolitical upheaval, corporate revenue trends were generally healthy in the second quarter. Citizens’ proprietary data showed continued revenue growth across most sectors, with a notable rebound in utilities after a soft start to the year.
“The second quarter was characterized by volatility as businesses navigated a dynamic macroeconomic and geopolitical environment,” said
After a pull forward of activity in anticipation of tariffs during the first quarter, economic conditions did soften in some geographies with international borders, such as the Northeast. However, macroeconomic factors remained steady at a national level.
- New business applications were neutral to the index.
- National employment data, as measured by initial jobless claims, remained healthy but was also neutral to the index.
- The ISM Services Index remained slightly expansionary, as consumers continue to show their resilience.
- The ISM Manufacturing Index contracted, reflecting trade policy uncertainty.
Overall, the second quarter CBCI reveals remarkable stability in the business environment.
“While there have been some tariff impacts on the margins, the economy weathered the volatility of the second quarter incredibly well,” Merlis added. “Companies appear poised for growth in the third quarter and beyond.”
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